Omada Health Common Stock Volatility

OMDA Stock   10.94  0.39  3.44%   
Omada Health Common maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.21, which implies the firm had a -0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Omada Health Common exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Omada Health's Variance of 16.28, risk adjusted performance of (0.19), and Coefficient Of Variation of (419.71) to confirm the risk estimate we provide.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.2115

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CashSmall RiskAverage RiskHigh RiskHuge Risk
Negative ReturnsOMDA
Based on monthly moving average Omada Health is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Omada Health by adding Omada Health to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Omada Health's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Omada Health Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Omada daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Omada's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Omada Health volatility.
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Omada Health can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Omada Health at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Omada Health's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to Omada Health's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
(1.27)
Alpha
(0.88)
Risk
4.07
Sharpe Ratio
(0.21)
Expected Return
(0.86)

Moving together with Omada Stock

  0.8GLH Global HealthPairCorr
  0.81DH Definitive Healthcare Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.85DOCS DoximityPairCorr
  0.87VSEE VSee HealthPairCorr
  0.71EVH Evolent HealthPairCorr
  0.8SHG Singular Health GroupPairCorr
  0.8WAY Waystar Holding CorpPairCorr
  0.73HSTM HealthStream Potential GrowthPairCorr
  0.829EH Evolent HealthPairCorr
  0.68KOVO Kovo Healthtech CorpPairCorr
  0.85STI Solidion TechnologyPairCorr
  0.8PNGM Er TherapeuticsPairCorr

Moving against Omada Stock

  0.77ALMDT MediantechnPairCorr
  0.77CRH CRH PLC ADRPairCorr
  0.7BIMT Bitmis CorpPairCorr
  0.67ENS EnersysPairCorr
  0.63AROC Archrock Symbol ChangePairCorr
  0.48CHS Comprehensive HealthcarePairCorr
  0.48APETF Alpha Esports TechPairCorr
  0.47ONE Oneview Healthcare PlcPairCorr
  0.38FCTI Fact IncPairCorr
  0.37M7T MACH7 TechnologiesPairCorr

Omada Health Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Omada Health's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Omada stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Omada stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Omada Health's beta of -1.27 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Omada Health stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Omada Health Common exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.71 and kurtosis of 1.32. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Omada Health's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Omada Health's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days Omada Health correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α-0.88   β-1.27
3 Months Beta |Analyze Omada Health Common Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Omada Health correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Omada Health Volatility and Downside Risk

Omada standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Using Omada Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Omada Health grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Omada Health at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Omada Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Omada Health's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Omada Health will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Omada Health's PUT expiring on 2026-04-17

   Profit   
       Omada Health Price At Expiration  

Current Omada Health Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
OMDA260417P00007500-0.1760570.020057602026-04-170.0 - 2.40.0View
Put
OMDA260417P00010000-0.3077170.0777581502026-04-170.05 - 2.20.0View
Put
OMDA260417P00012500-0.5404580.097728262026-04-171.55 - 3.20.0View
Put
OMDA260417P00015000-0.7630930.08503512026-04-172.8 - 5.50.0View
Put
OMDA260417P00017500-0.7730180.059781202026-04-175.7 - 7.80.0View
Put
OMDA260417P00020000-0.7819520.048386332026-04-178.1 - 10.50.0View
Put
OMDA260417P00022500-0.8193690.04080412026-04-1710.4 - 13.00.0View
View All Omada Health Options

Omada Health Common Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Omada Health stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Omada Health's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Omada Health's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Omada Health's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Omada Health's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Omada Health's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Omada Health's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Omada Health's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Omada Health Common Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Omada Health Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Omada Health Common has a beta of -1.2726 . This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Omada Health Common are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Omada Health is expected to outperform its benchmark.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Omada Health or Health Care Technology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Omada Health's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Omada stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Omada Health Common has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Omada Health's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how omada stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Omada Health Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Omada Health Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Omada Health is -472.72. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 16.59 and standard deviation of 4.07. The mean deviation of Omada Health Common is currently at 2.91. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.81
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.88
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.27
σ
Overall volatility
4.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.26

Omada Health Stock Return Volatility

Omada Health historical daily return volatility represents how much of Omada Health stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 4.0725% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7876% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

SDGRTDOC
BCRXTDOC
PGNYSDGR
PHRTDOC
BCRXSDGR
PGNYTDOC
  

High negative correlations

MAZEPHR
MAZETDOC
UFPTTDOC
MAZESDGR
UFPTBCRX
UFPTPHR

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Omada Stock performing well and Omada Health Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Omada Health's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.
Mean DeviationJensen AlphaSortino RatioTreynor RatioSemi DeviationExpected ShortfallPotential UpsideValue @RiskMaximum Drawdown
TDOC  2.24 (0.90) 0.00 (0.36) 0.00 
 3.70 
 15.93 
PHR  2.28 (0.99) 0.00 (0.53) 0.00 
 2.72 
 28.56 
SDGR  2.35 (0.77) 0.00 (0.35) 0.00 
 3.89 
 21.90 
PGNY  2.08 (0.11) 0.00 (0.10) 0.00 
 4.15 
 20.44 
OMCL  2.15 (0.03) 0.00  0.05  3.58 
 6.48 
 23.86 
TXG  3.09  0.18  0.06  0.20  3.21 
 9.76 
 19.14 
BCRX  1.95 (0.03) 0.00 (0.11) 0.00 
 4.43 
 16.75 
MAZE  2.83  0.78  0.24  1.60  2.59 
 6.77 
 20.03 
XERS  2.31 (0.12) 0.00  2.19  0.00 
 4.71 
 17.42 
UFPT  1.84  0.03  0.03  0.09  2.49 
 4.34 
 10.40 

About Omada Health Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Omada Health or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Omada Health may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Omada's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Omada Health and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Omada Health fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses78.3 M70.7 M
Omada Health's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Omada Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Omada Health's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Omada Health's volatility to invest better

Higher Omada Health's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Omada Health Common stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Omada Health Common stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Omada Health Common investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Omada Health's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Omada Health's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Omada Health Investment Opportunity

Omada Health Common has a volatility of 4.07 and is 5.15 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 36 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Omada Health. You can use Omada Health Common to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Omada Health to be traded at 10.5 in 90 days.

Pay attention - limited upside

The correlation between Omada Health Common and DJI is -0.75 (i.e., Pay attention - limited upside) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Omada Health Common and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Omada Health Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Omada Health's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Omada Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Omada Health stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Omada Health Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Omada Health as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Omada Health's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Omada Health's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Omada Health Common.

Complementary Tools for Omada Stock analysis

When running Omada Health's price analysis, check to measure Omada Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Omada Health is operating at the current time. Most of Omada Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Omada Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Omada Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Omada Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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